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Key Points
  • The White House has warned that US aid for Ukraine’s fight against Russian invasion will soon run out.
  • US President Joe Biden’s budget director said military assistance ending would “kneecap” Ukraine on the battlefield.
  • Ukraine has been desperately pushing for more Western aid.
US aid for Ukraine will run out by the end of the year and Vladimir Putin could win the war unless Congress agrees to further funding, the White House warned.
President Joe Biden’s budget director, Shalanda Young, said in a blunt letter to Republican House speaker Mike Johnson that if military assistance dries up it would “kneecap” Kyiv’s fight against the Russian invasion.
Democrat Biden asked Congress in October for a huge US$106 billion ($160 billion) national security package including military assistance for Ukraine and Israel’s war against Hamas, but the funding has been mired in divisions on Capitol Hill.

“There is no magical pot of funding available to meet this moment. We are out of money – and nearly out of time,” wrote Young.

“Cutting off the will kneecap Ukraine on the battlefield, not only putting at risk the gains Ukraine has made but increasing the likelihood of Russian military victories.”

National security adviser Jake Sullivan went further, suggesting that voting against aid for Ukraine was effectively voting to make it easier for Russia to succeed.

A man in a black suit and red tie.

US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan. Source: AFP / Mandel Ngan

“Congress has to decide whether to continue to support the fight for freedom in Ukraine … or whether Congress will ignore the lessons we’ve learned from history and let Putin prevail,” Sullivan told reporters at the White House.

“It is that simple. It is that stark a choice.”

‘Judgement of history’

Ukraine has been desperately pushing for more Western aid as Russian forces step up attacks in the winter after Kyiv’s counteroffensive failed over the summer.
But Congress has been paralysed for months by Republican infighting, with hard-right lawmakers particularly opposing any further assistance for Kyiv as the war drags into its third year.
Johnson, who took office in October after his predecessor was ousted in a right-wing coup, gave the White House letter a cool response.

“The Biden administration has failed to substantively address any of my conference’s legitimate concerns about the lack of a clear strategy in Ukraine,” Johnson said on X, formerly Twitter, on Monday.

Johnson also repeated the Republicans’ insistence on tying any Ukraine aid to changes in US policy on the southern border with Mexico, as the number of migrant arrivals surges.

Casting Putin and Hamas as twin forces trying to “annihilate” neighbouring democracies, Biden has sought to tie US$61 billion ($92 billion) for Ukraine with US$14 billion ($21 billion) for Israel in the aid package he demanded in October, along with funding for the border.

Democratic US Senate majority leader Chuck Schumer said the “judgement of history will be harsh indeed” if Congress failed to act.
He added that the issue was not genuine but that Republicans had “injected partisan and extreme immigration measures into the debate.”

“You can bet Vladimir Putin is watching. Hamas is watching. Iran, President Xi, North Korea — all our adversaries, they are watching closely.”

Putin ‘won’t make peace’

Ukraine’s frontline has largely remained static for the last year despite .
The United States has already allocated US$111 billion ($167.6 billion) for Ukraine since Russia invaded in February 2022, including US$67 billion ($101 billion) for military procurement, Young said.

European countries are also facing challenges in securing funding for Ukraine as fatigue with the war sets in.

A man walks past billboards promoting contract army service in Russia.

Ukraine has been desperately pushing for more Western aid as Russian forces step up attacks in the winter after Kyiv’s counteroffensive failed over the summer. Source: AFP / Olga Maltseva

Fears are growing in Washington that until next year’s US presidential election, a probable replay of 2020’s contest between Biden and Donald Trump.

Polls show a growing number of voters saying the United States is doing too much to help Kyiv.
“I think my expectation is that Putin won’t make peace or a meaningful peace before he sees the result of our election,” a senior State Department official told reporters last week.

The official would not say why but Moscow is widely seen as favouring a return by Trump, who has praised the Russian leader and questioned US aid for Ukraine.

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