Democrat John Fetterman and Republican Dr. Mehmet Oz are still locked in a tight race for Pennsylvania Senate, despite Fetterman’s eyebrow-raising debate performance.
That could mean the result won’t be known for days after Election Day, as around 1.4 million Pennsylvanians have requested mail-in ballots and Pennsylvania prohibits the counting of those votes until 7 a.m. on Election Day morning.
On Monday, a Muhlenberg College/Morning Call survey found that the candidates were tied – Fetterman at 47 percent and Oz at 47 percent. The poll of 460 likely voters – conducted mostly after last Tuesday’s Harrisburg face-off – had a margin of error of plus or minus 6 percent.
And then on Tuesday, a new Monmouth University poll showed Fetterman ahead with 48 percent support to Oz’s 44 percent, but within the survey’s 4.5 percent margin of error.
Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, the Democratic Senate hopeful, is tied in one new poll with rival, Republican Dr. Mehmet Oz. While the Monmoutn University poll shows him four points ahead
On Monday, a Muhlenberg College/Morning Call survey found that the candidates were tied – Fetterman at 47 percent and Oz at 47 percent. The poll of 460 likely voters – conducted mostly after last Tuesday’s Harrisburg face-off – had a margin of error of plus or minus 6 percent
And then on Tuesday, a new Monmouth University poll showed Fetterman ahead with 48 percent support to Oz’s 44 percent, but within the survey’s 4.5 percent margin of error
A Monmouth University poll shows that 9 percent of Pennsylvania likely voters have moved toward saying they’ll definitely vote for Dr. Mehmet Oz (pictured) in the Keystone State’s Senate race, but that movement happened before last Tuesday’s debate with John Fetterman
Monmouth’s pollsters asked Pennsylvania voters if they would definitely or probably vote for the candidates, with 39 percent saying they’d definitely be casting a vote for Fetterman, the state’s lieutenant governor, with another 9 percent saying they’d probably go for the Democrat.
For Oz, 32 percent said they’d definitely be backing the longtime TV personality, while another 12 percent said they’d probably cast a vote for the Trump-backed Republican.
Fetterman’s numbers remained constant before and after the debate, while Oz’s ‘definite’ support has increased by 7 points since early October.
‘The month-to-month shifts in support for Oz are not statistically significant. The overall trend suggests he has been chipping away with some voters who have not been completely comfortable with him, but that mainly happened prior to the debate,’ said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, in the poll’s release.
‘Fetterman’s performance may have had an impact on the margins but we don’t see any evidence of a wholesale shift in the race,’ Murray added.
At the debate, the after-effects of Fetterman’s May stroke were on prominent display, as he confused words and delivered jumbled answers.
Fetterman used closed captioning technology to assist the ‘auditory processing’ issue he’s struggled with since the stroke.
Monmouth found that more voters believe, 48 percent, than disbelieve, 38 percent, Fetterman’s explanation that his speaking issues do not impact his ability to think.
Another 12 percent of respondents were unaware that Fetterman had trouble speaking after his stroke.
Just 3 percent – including 7 percent of independents – said they are rethinking their vote after watching the debate.
Twenty-two percent said the debate raised serious questions, but answered that it wouldn’t impact their vote in a race that could decide who controls the upper chamber.
A near-majority, 46 percent, reported they had no serious concerns after watching the debate.
Another 27 percent said they didn’t see or hear anything about the debate.
Oz, however, gets higher ratings when voters were asked if a candidate could effectively serve a six-year Senate term.
Fifty-nine percent said this of Oz, while 48 percent said the same of Fetterman.
Fetterman will be holding rallies this Saturday with former President Barack Obama, in Pittsburgh, and then be joined by both Obama and President Joe Biden in Philadelphia.
Meanwhile on Saturday, former President Donald Trump will headline a rally in Latrobe, Pennsylvania, about an hour east of Pittsburgh, featuring Oz and GOP gubernatorial Doug Mastriano.