Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys to the White House

Historian Allan Lichtman has coined the 13 key algorithm that have correctly predicted the presidential outcome over the last 39 years.

If 6 or more of the following statements are false, the incumbent (Biden) is expected to lose the election:

• The incumbent party has more seats in the House of Representatives after the midterm elections compared with the previous set of elections
• There is no primary contest for the incumbent party nomination
• The incumbent president is seeking a second term
• There’s no significant third-party challenge
• Strong short-term economy
• Strong long-term economy
• Major policy change enacted by the incumbent administration
• No social unrest
• No scandal
• No major foreign policy or military failure
• Major foreign policy or military success
• Charismatic incumbent
• Uncharismatic challenge

Voters are frustrated with Super Tuesday options

Frustrated Americans have told The U.S. Sun “none of the above,” and bemoaned that they’re being “held hostage” by the electoral system as much of the country went to the polls on Super Tuesday.

The U.S. Sun took to the streets of New York to gauge the thoughts of voters as Election Day is just six months away.

Despite the extended coverage of the election, many Americans seem unimpressed ahead of 2024’s race.

“It’s like deja vu all over again,” complained Kelsey, a New Yorker who admitted to feeling “dismayed” at the prospect of a repeat of the 2020 election.

Historian’s prediction for 2024 election

Historian Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted each presidential election since 1984, hinted that Biden may have an advantage in the upcoming historical election.

Lichtman predicted Trump’s win in 2020 and asked if history could repeat itself, he said, “I doubt it, but you never know.”

He added that the Democrats’ best chance to secure a victory was nominating Biden, “One of my keys is incumbency, Biden secures that. Another one of my keys is an internal party battle, Biden secures that,” he said.

“There are still many keys that are outstanding that could sink Biden’s candidacy,” Lichtman added.

Challengers respond to Sinema’s announcement

The candidates running for Sinema’s now-empty Senate seat have responded after the news that she wouldn’t run for re-election.

“As we look ahead, Arizona is at a crossroads. Protecting abortion access, tackling housing affordability, securing our water supply, defending our democracy — all of this and more is on the line,” Gallego said in a statement.

 “I welcome all Arizonans, including Senator Sinema, to join me in that mission.”

Kari Lake said in a statement, “We may not agree on everything, but I know she shares my love for Arizona. Senator Sinema had the courage to stand tall against the far left in defense of the filibuster — despite the overwhelming pressure from the radicals in her party like Ruben Gallego who called on her to burn it all down.”

Krysten Sinema announces she will not run

Arizona Independent Senator Krysten Sinema announced today that she would not be seeking re-election in the fall.

Sinema posted a video to her X, formerly Twitter, account telling voters, “Because I choose civility, understanding, listening, working together to get stuff done, I will leave the Senate at the end of this year.”

Republican Kari Lake and Democrat Ruben Gallego are running for Sinema’s empty Senate seat.

Comparing Trump and Biden’s platforms

Other races to look out for – Alabama redistricting

Redistricting in Alabama has resulted in an incumbent vs. incumbent race for a seat in the House.

The newly drawn lines were an attempt to correct racial divisions and create another district where a majority of voters were Black.

There are 11 Democrats and seven Republicans on the ballot for the new district.