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() An active undersea volcano near Oregon’s coast is predicted to erupt in 2025, according to scientists.
The Axial Seamount is 300 miles from the coastline and a mile beneath the ocean’s surface and has been swelling steadily for the past six months while also experiencing seismic activity.
The volcano poses no risk to people, but for scientists, it’s an opportunity to study ways to predict eruptions.
In November, Axial swelled to nearly the same height as it did in 2015, the last time it erupted. That swelling is a sign that magma is pooling underground with increasing pressure that could fuel an eruption.
Researchers presented recent findings on seismic activity and swelling at the American Geophysical Union conference last month.
The possible eruption lets researchers test predictive systems without worrying about false alarms that could panic people potentially in harm’s way and have economic impacts.
At present, reliable predictions for volcanic eruptions are limited to a few days in advance, giving those in the area limited time to evacuate.
The area where Axial is located is the most active in the Pacific Northwest, with the volcano having erupted in 2015, 2011 and 1998. Axial Seamount is also the most monitored underwater volcano, home to the first underwater observatory in the world.
The volcano sits on the Juan de Fuca Ridge underwater mountain range that is located between two separating tectonic plates. Scientists record shakes and tremors in real time and transmit them to scientists to study.
When or if the volcano erupts this year, scientists hope they can use the data to create a model to forecast other volcanos based on inflation and seismic activity. That’s if volcanos follow the pattern scientists think they will and don’t do something new and unpredictable, which is always possible.
What won’t happen is a fiery, cinematic explosion. Instead, Axial Seamount will ooze lava once there’s enough pressure to crack the surface of the ocean floor open, providing scientists with new data along the way.