Newly discovered asteroid has a tiny chance of hitting Earth in 2032
Share and Follow


The potential impact would occur on Dec. 22, 2032. It’s much too soon to know where it might land if it did hit Earth.

CAPE CANAVERAL, Fla. — A newly discovered asteroid has a tiny chance of smacking Earth in 2032, space agency officials said Wednesday.

Scientists put the odds of a strike at slightly more than 1%.

“We are not worried at all, because of this 99 percent chance it will miss,” said Paul Chodas, director of NASA’s Center for Near Earth Object Studies. “But it deserves attention.”

First spotted last month by a telescope in Chile, the near-Earth asteroid — designated 2024 YR4 — is estimated to be 130 to 330 feet (40 to 100 meters) across.

Scientists are keeping close watch on the space rock, which is currently heading away from Earth. As the asteroid’s path around the sun becomes better understood, Chodas and others said there’s a good chance the risk to Earth could drop to zero.

The asteroid will gradually fade from view over the next few months, according to NASA and the European Space Agency. Until then, some of the world’s most powerful telescopes will keep monitoring it to better determine its size and path. Once out of sight, it won’t be visible until it passes our way again in 2028.

The asteroid came closest to Earth on Christmas Day — passing within roughly 500,000 miles (800,000 kilometers) of Earth, about twice the distance of the moon. It was discovered two days later.

Chodas said scientists are poring over sky surveys from 2016, when predictions show the asteroid also ventured close.

If scientists can find the space rock in images from then, they should be able to determine whether it will hit or miss the planet, he told The Associated Press. “If we don’t find that detection, the impact probability will just move slowly as we add more observations,” he said.

Earth gets clobbered by an asteroid this size every few thousand years, according to ESA, with the potential for severe damage. That’s why this one now tops ESA’s asteroid risk list.

The potential impact would occur on Dec. 22, 2032. It’s much too soon to know where it might land if it did hit Earth.

The good news, according to NASA, is that for now, no other known large asteroids have an impact probability above 1%.

Share and Follow
You May Also Like
Trump’s push to acquire Greenland sparks international media frenzy on remote island

Trump’s Proposal to Purchase Greenland Ignites Global Media Attention on the Island

As President Donald Trump intensifies his push to acquire Greenland, an influx…
Jacksonville woman arrested after allegedly punching trooper during ICE confrontation, Florida AG says

Jacksonville Woman Charged: Alleged Assault on Trooper During ICE Encounter Sparks Legal Action, Says Florida AG

A Jacksonville woman, Jennifer Cruz, was apprehended on Tuesday and is now…
JAX airport to get TSA facial recognition soon. Here's when it starts

TSA Facial Recognition Technology Set to Launch Soon at JAX Airport: Find Out the Start Date

TSA is broadening its PreCheck Touchless ID initiative across six key airports…
FedEx driver claims hes autistic and shouldn't be excited for murder

FedEx Driver with Autism Speaks Out Against Misinterpretation in Murder Case

Lawyers representing a FedEx driver charged with kidnapping and murdering a seven-year-old…
Florida teens buried alive in deadly sand tunnel collapse

Tragic Sand Tunnel Collapse Claims Lives of Florida Teens

A Florida community is grappling with the tragic loss of two teenage…
Tesla dealership arsonist learns prison sentence after pleading guilty in Cybertruck torching

Arsonist Sentenced to Prison for Setting Tesla Cybertruck on Fire: Guilty Plea Seals Fate

An individual found guilty of arson at a Tesla facility has been…
Suspect accused of killing sleeping passenger on Chicago train filmed himself carrying out attack: prosecutors

Prosecutors Reveal Suspect Allegedly Recorded Deadly Attack on Sleeping Passenger Aboard Chicago Train

A man is facing charges for allegedly fatally stabbing a fellow passenger…
Second-largest Minnesota school district to offer temporary virtual learning amid ICE operations

Minnesota’s Second-Largest School District Shifts to Virtual Learning in Response to ICE Activity

In response to rising concerns over increased federal immigration activity in the…