Economist Brent Neiman shocked to learn Trump admin used his formula to justify tariffs: 'Got it wrong'
Share and Follow

An esteemed economist was surprised to discover that the Trump administration utilized his study to support its high tariffs. He stated that the White House misinterpreted his formula and made significant errors in calculating the tariffs for each country.

Brent Neiman, a University of Chicago economics professor, said in a New York Times op-ed that President Trump’s sweeping tariff regime should have been roughly four times less if his study had been followed correctly.

The economic expert, who co-wrote the research with three other renowned economists, noted that his first question when Trump unveiled its tariff rates was: “How on earth did it calculate such huge rates?”

“The next day it got personal. The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative released its methodology and cited an academic paper produced by four economists, including me, seemingly in support of its numbers,” he wrote.

“But it got it wrong. Very wrong,” he said.

“I disagree fundamentally with the government’s trade policy and approach. But even taking it at face value, our findings suggest the calculated tariffs should be dramatically smaller — perhaps one-fourth as large.”

Neiman, who served as a treasury official during the Biden administration, suggested Trump’s team incorrectly plugged a 25% rate into its formula to come up with the levies.

“Where does 25% come from? Is it related to our work? I don’t know,” he wrote.

“Had the trade office instead used a value closer to the 95 percent number from our work, as I believe it should have done, the computed tariffs would have been as little as one-fourth of what they are.”

The professor said the “biggest mistake” was leveraging the reciprocal tariffs to try to eliminate trade deficits with some of the Unites States’ major trading partners.

“The office said it calculated its reciprocal tariffs at a level that would theoretically eliminate trade deficits with ‘each of our trading partners,’ one by one. Is that a reasonable goal?” he wrote.

“It is not. Trade imbalances between two countries can emerge for many reasons that have nothing to do with protectionism. Americans spend more on clothing made in Sri Lanka than Sri Lankans spend on American pharmaceuticals and gas turbines. So what? That pattern reflects differences in natural resources, comparative advantage and development levels.”

“The deficit numbers don’t suggest, let alone prove, unfair competition,” he added.

Neiman’s reaction comes after Trump announced a 10% baseline tariff on all imports to the US last week, as well as higher duties on some of the country’s biggest trading partners — ranging from premium Italian coffee and Japanese whisky to sportswear made in Asia.

Trump has justified the hefty levies by arguing the “reciprocal” tariffs were a response to duties and other non-tariff barriers put on US goods.

He has insisted, too, that the tariffs would boost manufacturing jobs at home.

 

Share and Follow
You May Also Like
Missing child found at Humboldt Park, Chicago home after disappearing more than 7 years ago; sibling, mother arrested

Teen Charged in Fatal Attempted Robbery in Cicero: One Suspect Dead

A tragic incident unfolded in Cicero, Illinois, where a teenager has been…
Sleepy railroad town becomes the No. 1 fastest-growing city in the US

Historic Railroad Town Emerges as the Fastest-Growing City in the US

Just outside of Houston, a once tranquil area has claimed the title…
Trump says US will intervene if Iran violently suppresses peaceful protests

Trump Announces U.S. Readiness to Act Against Iran’s Violent Crackdown on Peaceful Protests

On Friday, U.S. President Donald Trump issued a strong warning to Iran,…
Eric Adams issues brutal response to Andy Cohen after epic rant

Eric Adams Delivers Stern Reply to Andy Cohen Following Passionate Commentary

Eric Adams has implied that Andy Cohen might need help with alcohol…
Moment ceiling catches fire, kliling 40 people at Swiss club

Tragic Incident at Swiss Club: Ceiling Fire Claims 40 Lives

This harrowing incident captures the moment a Swiss nightclub’s ceiling ignites into…
Seattle rings in 2026 with huge BRAWL as thick fog obscured fireworks

Massive Brawl Eclipses Seattle’s Foggy 2026 New Year Fireworks Celebration

As Seattle ushered in the new year, a significant altercation erupted, overshadowing…
Florida and Georgia governor’s races gain early momentum as primaries loom

Exciting Early Momentum in Florida and Georgia Governor Races as Primaries Approach

Experts in politics are closely watching the gubernatorial races in Florida and…
Couple who own 'disaster waiting to happen' Swiss bar where 47 died

Swiss Bar Owners Under Scrutiny After Tragic Event Claims 47 Lives

A tragic incident unfolded in a Swiss ski bar where celebratory sparklers…