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The Coalition is experiencing a modest rise in support, with its primary vote increasing by two points to reach 28 percent. Meanwhile, One Nation’s popularity is also climbing, now standing at 18 percent.
In a Newspoll commissioned by The Australian, One Nation’s primary vote appears even stronger, reaching 22 percent. This places them ahead of the Coalition, which is at 21 percent, though both remain behind Labor, which leads with 32 percent.
The Resolve poll reveals a significant drop in Prime Minister Albanese’s personal approval rating, which has fallen from a positive 6 to a negative 22 since December 6. This decline comes amid public dissatisfaction with the government’s handling of the Bondi terror attack.
Respondents have criticized Albanese for being confused, unclear, and disconnected from public sentiment. Despite the criticism, he still holds a slight edge over opposition leader Sussan Ley as the preferred prime minister, with 33 percent support compared to Ley’s 29 percent. However, it’s important to note that Albanese has seen an 11-point decrease in his lead.
However, he remains preferred prime minister ahead of opposition leader Sussan Ley, at 33 per cent to 29 per cent – though that constitutes an 11-point drop for Albanese.
And on a two-party preferred basis, Labor remains in the lead at 52 per cent to 48 per cent, narrowed from 55 per cent to 45 per cent in December.
Deputy Prime Minister Richard Marles on Today said the government was focused on delivering legislation responding to the Bondi attack, after Albanese announced the government would split its hate speech and gun reform proposals.
“What we’re focused on is implementing the antisemitism report in full, which is what we committed to doing,” he said.
“We said we would bring the parliament back early, which is what we are doing, in order to put that legislation through.”
Marles also defended Albanese’s hesitation in calling for a federal royal commission into the attack.
”We had anxieties at the start about a royal commission at the time it might take and how it might play out,” he said.
“But but we have worked with the Jewish community in respect of that, and we are really confident about the royal commission that we have now called.”
Despite the poor polling, the largest proportion of voters believed Labor would retain government, at 41 per cent compared to 23 per cent for the Coalition.
But 42 per cent of voters said they would cast their next vote for a party other than Labor or the Coalition, as One Nation’s primary vote support surges to about three times the 6.4 per cent they gained in the 2025 election.
“One Nation have taken a big chunk of the Coalition’s base since the election, but since the Bondi massacre they’re also hoovering up votes from Labor too,” Resolve political analyst Jim Reed told Nine newspaers.
“If this trend continues, we may have to stop referring to them as a minor party.”