Saudi Oil Leader Issues Grim Warning on Potential Impact of Iran Conflict

Saudi Arabia's national oil giant has raised alarms about the potential for 'catastrophic consequences' in global oil markets if the Middle East conflict continues...
HomeUSIran Seeks to Strengthen Grip on Key Strait of Hormuz Passage

Iran Seeks to Strengthen Grip on Key Strait of Hormuz Passage

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Iran is wielding its influence over a crucial maritime passage as tensions escalate, with President Trump vowing to destroy any vessels that attempt to plant mines in the area.

The conflict with Iran has severely restricted the flow of oil from the country through the Strait of Hormuz, as Iranian forces target vessels from other nations.

Trump has declared that any Iranian ships interfering with oil exports will be “dealt with quickly and violently.” Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth echoed this sentiment, stating that the United States “will not allow terrorists to hold the Strait of Hormuz hostage.”

The strait is a critical channel where approximately one-fifth of the world’s oil supply passes through. Amidst the ongoing instability, the Wall Street Journal reports that oil prices have surged, with a barrel exceeding $100 over the past weekend for the first time since 2022.

In a recent incident early Wednesday, a cargo vessel navigating the Strait of Hormuz was struck by an unidentified projectile, igniting a fire onboard and forcing the crew to evacuate.

Countries around the world are already starting to feel the pinch from the blockade, with some even imposing measures like price caps and rationing to keep the cost of oil down. 

But the situation may grow even more dire, as JPMorgan Chase analysts warned Gulf oil supplies could be cut by 3.8 million barrels a day – amounting to three percent of global production.

Trump last week suggested that US may soon escort ships through the strait to keep the world’s oil supply flowing. But Ali Reza Tangsiri, the commander of Iran’s navy, warned against any planned American escorts.

‘Any passage of the US fleet and its allies will be halted by the net of Iranian missiles and suicide drones,’ Tangsiri posted on social media.

Iran is continuing to assert its control over the Strait of Hormuz, only allowing Iranian or Chinese ships to pass through the waterway

Iran is continuing to assert its control over the Strait of Hormuz, only allowing Iranian or Chinese ships to pass through the waterway

Since the war began on February 28, only seven tankers have loaded oil off the Iranian coast at the Strait of Hormuz (pictured)

Since the war began on February 28, only seven tankers have loaded oil off the Iranian coast at the Strait of Hormuz (pictured)

About one-fifth of the world's oil typically passes through the narrow strait (pictured)

About one-fifth of the world’s oil typically passes through the narrow strait (pictured)

Ali Larijani, Iran’s security chief, similarly warned on X that the Strait of Hormuz could either be a ‘strait of peace and prosperity for all’ or it could turn into a ‘strait of defeat and suffering for warmongers.’ 

In the meantime, US Central Command announced on Tuesday that American forces destroyed 16 Iranian minelaying vessels near the Strait of Hormuz.

President Trump, who has previously said he is ‘not afraid’ to use military force to keep the passage open, also posted on social media that the US military ‘completely destroyed’ the inactive Iranian mine-laying vessels.

In his social media post he added that there would be ‘more to follow.’ 

‘If for any reason mines were placed, and they are not removed forthwith, the Military consequences to Iran will be at a level never seen before,’ Trump wrote, adding later that the ships ‘will be dealt with quickly and violently.’

He had also previously warned on Monday that ‘If Iran does anything that stops the flow of Oil within the Strait of Hormuz, they will be hit by the United States of America TWENTY TIMES HARDER than they have been hit thus far.’

Similarly, Hegseth said that the US ‘will not allow terrorists to hold the Strait of Hormuz hostage.’

The mines could have make it impossible for tankers to pass through the strait, which is just 21 miles wide at its narrowest point.

‘Those ships must avoid the mines and the mines themselves, the placement of the mines, create a challenge for the ship operators,’ Retired US Maj. Gen. Mark MacCarley explained to CNN’s Elex Michaelson.

President Donald Trump has vowed to take action to keep the strait open

President Donald Trump has vowed to take action to keep the strait open

US Central Command announced on Tuesday that American forces destroyed 16 Iranian minelaying vessels near the Strait of Hormuz

US Central Command announced on Tuesday that American forces destroyed 16 Iranian minelaying vessels near the Strait of Hormuz

A mine-laying vessel is seen being blasted to bits after being struck by a missile fired by the US

A mine-laying vessel is seen being blasted to bits after being struck by a missile fired by the US

He added that the threat of the explosives would ‘funnel those ships into a very small vector’ and a single mine could then take out multiple ships.

‘If two or three of those huge tankers are in fact taken out,’ it would ‘significantly… impact the economies of most of the world.’

Without passage through the strait, Gulf countries like Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Iraq have already been forced to cut oil production, causing US gas prices to rise about 17 percent since the start of the war.

After hitting a peak of nearly $120 per barrel over the weekend, prices started to dip slightly after Trump declared on Monday that the war is ‘pretty much’ over. 

It then fell again to below $80 a barrel on Tuesday after Energy Secretary Chris Wright posted a claim that the US military provided protection for an oil tanker traveling through the Strait of Hormuz.

He quickly deleted the post, however, and White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt later denied that a military escort had occurred.

‘I can confirm that the US Navy has not escorted a tanker or vessel at this time,’ she told reporters. ‘Though, of course, that’s an option the president has said he will absolutely utilize if and when necessary at the appropriate time.’

But the US Navy has refused near-daily requests from the shipping industry for military escorts, saying the risk of attacks is too high for now, sources familiar with the matter told Reuters.

Oil prices have increased 17 percent in the United States since the war began

Officials in other countries, though, have started to take action – with the Gulf nations proposing a resolution at the United Nations calling for, among other things, freedom to navigate through the Strait. 

The International Energy Agency has also proposed the largest release of oil reserves in its history, the Wall Street Journal reported.

It said the release would exceed the 182 million barrels of oil that IEA member nations put on the market in two releases in 2022 when Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

Member nations are now expected to vote on the proposal on Wednesday, as G7 leaders hold a video conference to discuss the economic impacts of the war in the Middle East.

Meanwhile, President Trump announced on Tuesday plans for a new oil refinery to be built in Brownsville, Texas. 

America First Refining said in a statement that a 168,000 barrel-per-day refinery to be built at the port of Brownsville along the U.S.-Mexico border, when operating, would offset $300 billion in the US trade deficit.

‘This project represents a historic step forward for American energy production,’ said John V. Calce, chairman and founder of America First Refining. 

‘For the first time in half a century, the United States will build a new refinery designed specifically for American shale oil.’

Trump also wrote on his Truth Social platform that the refinery would ‘fuel US markets, strengthen our national security, boost American energy production, deliver billions of dollars in economic impact, and will be the cleanest refinery in the world.’

In the meantime, the price of barrel of Brent crude – the international standard – was up nine cents at $85.36, down 11 percent from its settlement price the day before as markets started to open on Wednesday.

US benchmark crude oil, meanwhile, gained 36 cents to $83.81 per barrel. 

The S&P 500 dipped 0.2 percent  to 6,781.48, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 34 points, or 0.1 percent to 47,706.51 and the Nasdaq composite edged higher by less than 0.1 percent to 22,697.10 on Tuesday amid fears that the rising gas prices will translate to higher prices on goods as well.

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