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HomeAUOne Nation Overtakes Coalition in Latest Poll Surge

One Nation Overtakes Coalition in Latest Poll Surge

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Recent polling indicates that One Nation is now siphoning off potential voters from Anthony Albanese and the Labor Party, while simultaneously creating challenges for the federal Coalition.

The latest Resolve Political Monitor polling, conducted from March 9 to 14 as the war in the Middle East escalated, has pushed One Nation‘s primary vote above the Coalition to sit at 24 per cent.

The opposition has plummeted to an unprecedented low of 22 percent, even after Angus Taylor assumed leadership. Meanwhile, the primary vote for federal Labor has slipped from 31 percent in February to 29 percent.

One Nation leader Senator Pauline Hanson during a press conference at Parliament House in Canberra on Monday 19 January 2026. fedpol Photo: Alex Ellinghausen
Pauline Hanson’s latest surge in the polls has become bad news for the government. (Alex Ellinghausen)

One Nation’s support has experienced a significant boost since Barnaby Joyce, the former Nationals leader, allied himself with the outspoken Queensland party, climbing from a mere 16 percent on Christmas Day.

Pauline Hanson‘s political ascension comes during a turbulent period of politics, both at home and abroad.

The findings, part of the Resolve poll conducted for The Sydney Morning Herald and The Age (both part of the Nine network), did not include details regarding the two-party-preferred vote between the Coalition and Labor.

Angus Taylor is already under pressure to turn poll results into votes. (Alex Ellinghausen)

The Resolve poll was published for The Sydney Morning Herald and The Age newspapers (owned by Nine), who chose not to report on results of the two-party-preferred vote between the Coalition and Labor.

The newspapers said this was because “the huge surge in support for One Nation makes any preference vote potentially misleading”.

When it comes to preferred prime minister, Taylor’s move into the top job has helped him claw back some ground on Albanese, who fell from 37 per cent to 35 per cent. Taylor’s debut put him at 31 per cent compared to Sussan Ley’s last result of 22 per cent.

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese during a press conference at Parliament House in Canberra on Tuesday 10 March 2026. fedpol Photo: Alex Ellinghausen
The poll results come during a turbulent period for politics, both at home and abroad. (Alex Ellinghausen)

Resolve pollster Jim Reed told the SMH that Labor had lost vote share to minor parties, putting the party at its lowest point this term.

“This follows the interest rate rise and fuel shortages, which are the straw that broke the camel’s back for voters who have been struggling with the cost of living for four years now.”

The most dominant policy priority is the cost of living, with 43 per cent of respondents nominating as the most important issue in Australia.

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