The controversial submarine agreement has come under intense scrutiny due to its hefty multi-billion-dollar cost, alongside doubts about the United States’ commitment to fulfilling its part of the deal. Concerns have been exacerbated by delays in production timelines and the Trump administration’s close examination of the contracts involved.

One expert pointedly noted, “We can’t, in effect, solve a 2027 deterrence problem with a 2032 deterrent capability.” This highlights the pressing concern that waiting for submarine acquisitions in the medium term may fall short of deterring immediate threats.

A recent report underscores the urgency of the situation, arguing that Australia cannot rely solely on future submarine capabilities to counter current security challenges. The Australian government has been advised to consider alternative strategies to dissuade potential adversaries from engaging in military aggression.

The institute urged the Australian government to explore unconventional ways of deterring adversaries from armed aggression.