'Most important stock in the world' set to rattle global economy
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Computer chipmaker Nvidia is poised to release a quarterly earnings report today that is expected to either deepen a recent downturn in the US stock market or prompt a sigh of relief among investors increasingly worried that the world’s most valuable company is perched atop an artificial intelligence bubble that’s about to burst.
Nvidia’s report, due after the US market closes at 8am AEST, has turned into a pulse check on an AI boom that began three years ago when OpenAI released ChatGPT.

The pivotal innovation propelled Nvidia from a relatively obscure chip manufacturer, primarily recognized for its video game graphics chips, into a leading figure in AI technology. This shift occurred as its distinctive chipsets became crucial for supporting the technology behind the AI surge.

Traders James Bodner, foreground, and Chris Lagana work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange ahead of Nvidia releasing its results today. (AP)

With OpenAI alongside established tech giants like Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Meta Platforms (the parent company of Facebook) increasingly purchasing Nvidia’s chips, the company’s annual revenue skyrocketed from $27 billion in 2022 to an anticipated $208 billion this year.

This rapid growth has driven a tenfold increase in Nvidia’s market capitalization, which now exceeds $4.5 trillion. This valuation surpasses that of Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet, Google’s parent company, which are each valued between $3 trillion and $4 trillion.

“Calling this the most significant stock globally is an understatement,” remarked Jay Woods, chief market strategist at Freedom Capital Markets, highlighting Nvidia’s prominence.

Elon Musk speaks with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang as they attend the Saudi Investment Forum at the Kennedy Centre in Washington today. (AP)

Nvidia’s impressive market valuation rise reflects its consistent ability to exceed investor expectations. Its quarterly reports are filled with figures that surpass analyst predictions, complemented by optimistic projections from CEO Jensen Huang. Despite challenges, such as the trade tensions initiated during President Donald Trump’s administration, Huang suggests the company is merely at the beginning of a growth phase expected to extend for another decade.

But in the past few weeks, more investors are starting to wonder if the AI craze has been overblown, even as big tech companies such as Alphabet increase their budgets for building more AI factories.

That’s why Nvidia’s market value has fallen by more than 10 per cent — a reversal known as a correction in investors’ parlance — just three weeks after it became the first company to be valued at $US5 trillion.

“Skepticism is the highest now than anytime over the last few years,” said Nancy Tengler, chief executive of money management Laffer Tengler Investments.

Despite the recent worries, it’s widely assumed that Nvidia’s quarterly numbers will at least mirror the analyst forecasts that steer investor reactions.

The Santa Clara, California, company is expected to earn $US1.26 per share on revenue of $US54.9 billion, which would be a 59 per cent increase from the same time last year.

But the bar has been raised so high for Nvidia and AI that the company will likely have to deliver even more robust growth to ease the bubble worries.

Investors also are likely to be parsing Huang’s remarks about the past quarter and the current market conditions — an assessment that has become akin to the State of the Union for the AI boom.

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