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Peter Magyar, once a staunch ally of Viktor Orban, emerged victorious in the recent elections by focusing his campaign on tackling corruption and addressing essential concerns like healthcare and public transportation. Magyar has committed to mending Hungary’s strained relationships with the European Union and NATO, which suffered under Orban’s leadership.
European leaders were quick to extend their congratulations to Magyar following his win.
It remains uncertain if Magyar’s Tisza party will secure the two-thirds parliamentary majority required to enact significant legislative reforms.
With 77 percent of ballots tallied, Magyar’s party leads with over 53 percent of the vote, compared to 38 percent for Orban’s ruling Fidesz party.
Orban addressed his supporters, stating, “I congratulated the victorious party. We will continue to serve the Hungarian nation and our homeland from the opposition.”
‘’Thank you, Hungary!” Magyar posted on X, as thousands of his supporters thronged the banks of the Danube in Budapest, chanting “We got it! We did it!”
Orban, the EU’s longest-serving leader and one of its biggest antagonists, who has traveled a long road from his early days as a liberal, anti-Soviet firebrand to the Russia-friendly nationalist admired today by the global far-right.
Voters showed up in droves
Turnout by 6.30pm was over 77 per cent, according to the National Election Office, a record number in any election in Hungary’s post-communist history.
The parties of both Orban and Magyar said they had received reports of electoral violations, suggesting some results could be disputed by both sides.
“I’m asking our supporters and all Hungarians: Let’s stay peaceful, cheerful, and if the results confirm our expectations, let’s throw a big, Hungarian carnival,” Magyar said.
Mark Radnai, Tisza’s vice president, also called for reconciliation after a tense campaign. “We can’t be each other’s enemies. Reach out, hug your neighbours, your relatives. It’s the day of reunification.”
‘Choice between East or West’
The EU will be waiting to see what Magyar does about Ukraine. Orban repeatedly frustrated EU efforts to support Ukraine in its war against Russia’s full-scale invasion, while cultivating close ties to Putin and refusing to end Hungary’s dependence on Russian energy imports.
Recent revelations have shown a top member of Orban’s government frequently shared the contents of EU discussions with Moscow, raising accusations that Hungary was acting on Russia’s behalf within the bloc.
Orban occupied an outsized role in far-right populist politics worldwide.
Members of Trump’s “Make America Great Again” movement are among those who see Orban’s government and his Fidesz political party as shining examples of conservative, anti-globalist politics in action, while he is reviled by advocates of liberal democracy and the rule of law.
Casting his ballot in Budapest, Marcell Mehringer, 21, said he was voting “primarily so that Hungary will finally be a so-called European country, and so that young people, and really everyone, will do their fundamental civic duty to unite this nation a bit and to break down these boundaries borne of hatred.”
Strained relationship with the EU
During his 16 years as prime minister, Orban launched harsh crackdowns on minority rights and media freedoms, subverted many of Hungary’s institutions and been accused of siphoning large sums of money into the coffers of his allied business elite, an allegation he denies.
He also heavily strained Hungary’s relationship with the EU. Although Hungary is one of the smaller EU countries, with a population of 9.5 million, Orban has repeatedly used his veto to block decisions that require unanimity.
Most recently, he blocked a €90 billion ($149 billion) EU loan to Ukraine, prompting his partners to accuse him of hijacking the critical aid.
His challenger came from the inside
Magyar, 45, rapidly rose to become Orbán’s most serious challenger.
A former insider within Orban’s Fidesz, Magyar broke with the party in 2024 and quickly formed Tisza. Since then, he has toured Hungary relentlessly, holding rallies in settlements big and small in a campaign blitz that recently had him visiting up to six towns daily.
In an interview with The Associated Press earlier this month, Magyar said the election would be a “referendum” on whether Hungary continued on its drift towards Russia under Orban, or could retake its place among the democratic societies of Europe.
Tisza is a member of the European People’s Party, the mainstream, centre-right political family with leaders governing 12 of the EU’s 27 nations.
Magyar faced a tough fight. Orban’s control of Hungary’s public media, which he has transformed into a mouthpiece for his party, and vast swaths of the private media market give him an advantage in spreading his message.
The unilateral transformation of Hungary’s electoral system and gerrymandering of its 106 voting districts by Fidesz also will require Tisza to gain an estimated 5 per cent more votes than Orbán’s party to achieve a simple majority.
Additionally, hundreds of thousands of ethnic Hungarians in neighbouring countries had the right to vote in Hungarian elections and traditionally have voted overwhelmingly for Orban’s party.
Russian secret services have plotted to interfere and tip the election in Orban’s favour, according to numerous media reports including by The Washington Post. The prime minister, however, has accused neighbouring Ukraine, as well as Hungary’s allies in the EU, of seeking to interfere in the vote to install a “pro-Ukraine” government.
Such accusations are part of why many in the EU see Orban as a danger to the bloc’s future.
But across the Atlantic, Trump and his MAGA movement were all-in for another Orban term. Trump repeatedly endorsed the Hungarian leader and US Vice President JD Vance made a two-day visit to Hungary last week meant to help push Orban over the finish line.