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HomeAUUnmasking Mortgage Stress in Australia: Where Conventional Wisdom Fails Homeowners

Unmasking Mortgage Stress in Australia: Where Conventional Wisdom Fails Homeowners

New insights reveal that numerous Australian homeowners are allocating more than half their monthly net income to mortgage payments, with the average borrower dedicating around 38% of their post-tax earnings to their home loans.

This information comes from a recent study conducted by Finder, a popular financial comparison platform. The survey, carried out in July, polled about 1,000 Australians aged 16 and older, including 291 individuals with current mortgages.

Though saving for an initial deposit poses a significant challenge for many aspiring homeowners, successfully purchasing a property introduces a fresh set of hurdles.

“Mortgage repayments are so substantial for many Australians that they verge on causing mortgage stress. The insights into generational and gender gaps are particularly eye-opening,” states the report.

The survey highlights that about 55% of the respondents are experiencing mortgage stress — a term used to define households that spend over 30% of their income on home loan installments.

But Richard Whitten, a home loans expert at Finder, cautioned that the mortgage stress metric is “more complicated” when applied to Australia’s current housing market.

“I’d treat it as a benchmark figure rather than an absolute red line,” Whitten told SBS News.

“It depends on factors like how much you earn, and what your household expenses look like. If you’ve got a lot of other big expenses like childcare or private school fees, you have less wiggle room.”

What does mortgage stress mean?

The concept of mortgage stress is often linked to the United States’ 1969 Housing and Urban Development Act, which set a benchmark on housing affordability. Under the Brooke Amendment, rent in public housing was capped to 25 per cent of family income.

By 1981, this rent cap was raised to 30 per cent. The 30 per cent threshold subsequently became a widely used metric for housing affordability for renters and homeowners.

The Reserve Bank of Australia says on its website the benchmark in Australia dates back to its 1991/92 National Housing Strategy.

Generally, mortgage stress is calculated by comparing home loan repayments to a household’s gross (pre-tax) income.

A grey and white table outlining what share of household income is spent on monthly home loan repayments.

Tom Alves, acting managing director of the Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute (AHURI), told SBS News that this proxy for housing unaffordability has also evolved into the ’30:40 rule’.

“Usually, we look at the bottom 40 per cent of income distribution to see if anyone there is paying more than 30 per cent of their household income.

“So, the higher up the income distribution you are, I guess the more capacity you have to absorb a greater proportion of household income on housing costs.”

Why the rule was never meant for everyone

Alves believes the 30:40 benchmark can be a “simplified” way of measuring mortgage stress but acknowledged it’s “the standardised sort of rule of thumb … fairly consistently [used] here and internationally as well”.

He said it’s important to recognise there’s a “spectrum of income” which impacts how much Australian households can comfortably devote to mortgage repayments.

“If your household income is $1 million, for example, you could comfortably pay 50 per cent or more … of that income on housing costs and not feel that as stress,” he said.

“If you’re only earning $50,000 as a household, for example, then even 25 per cent of your income is going to have a big impact on your capacity to pay for other things.”

Alves said demographics including single-parent households and those with dependents are more likely to find housing costs “more difficult to accommodate within their budget”.

The Australian National University’s microsimulation model, PolicyMod, has tracked the proportion of households spending more than 30 per cent of disposable income on housing across three decades.

Using data derived from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Survey of Income and Housing, it found that statistically, single parents and single-occupant households were more likely to experience mortgage stress.

A line graph outlining proportion of households spending more than 30 per cent of disposable income on housing, by household type.

Steven Rowley is a professor at Curtin University and director of AHURI’s Curtin Research Centre.

In 2024, he co-authored a report examining housing affordability, which highlighted: “Normative housing affordability measures remain insensitive to factors such as household size, composition and formation, housing tenure, quality, and locational and neighbourhood characteristics.”

Rowley told SBS News he does not believe mortgage stress is a “good metric” in the Australian context as many households will choose to spend more than 30 per cent of their income on housing.

“Considering it their most important expenditure item … others may not wish to spend more than 30 per cent but have little choice because there is nothing affordable that would allow them to spend less,” he said.

He also noted that the mortgage stress benchmark does not account for gaps in home equity and wealth.

Whitten said some households may choose to put themselves in mortgage stress and believes “going all in on property can set you up for long-term stability but not if it leaves you exposed in the short-term”.

“You really need to be able to afford to pay your groceries and utilities, car repairs, any surprise expenses.”