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Every year, the question seems to resurface: Are movie stars losing their influence? This autumn, the topic feels even more pressing. While there’s evidence suggesting that big names still draw crowds—Leonardo DiCaprio’s involvement likely pushed One Battle After Another to achieve $200 million globally—there’s also plenty pointing to the contrary. A decade ago, a DiCaprio film might have earned much more. As the year winds down, the box office has been littered with flops from both veteran and fresh faces like Margot Robbie, Colin Farrell, Dwayne Johnson, and Jennifer Lawrence. The list goes on with Channing Tatum, Glen Powell, Julia Roberts, Sydney Sweeney, Jennifer Lopez, and Jared Leto. Who really qualifies as a box office movie star anymore?

Part of the dilemma is age; many stars, including the ageless Leonardo DiCaprio, are now over 50. It’s not realistic to expect icons like Julia Roberts or George Clooney—who explores these themes in his Netflix film Jay Kelly—to maintain their box office magnetism indefinitely. Roberts and Clooney managed decent returns with Ticket to Paradise a few years ago, outperforming some of their contemporaries. Yet, even the supposed next-generation stars have stumbled, despite their media presence suggesting some kind of viability. As we approach the year’s end, it seems timely to evaluate actors under 50 who might be considered the top ten movie stars today. This list will focus on their box office performance over the past five years, with an emphasis on their 2023 achievements.

  • ANYONE BUT YOU STREAMING MOVIE REVIEW
    Photo: Everett Collection

    Highlights: Anyone But You was a game-changer, a romantic comedy that started slow but became a hit thanks to word-of-mouth, marking a notable success in its genre. Glen Powell also took a leading role in Twisters, a franchise movie that leaned heavily on his star appeal.

    Challenges: The fall season wasn’t kind to them. Sydney Sweeney’s fighter biopic Christy met a fate similar to The Smashing Machine, while Powell’s mainstream attempt with The Running Man was overshadowed by Predator: Badlands, a film featuring no human actors. Perhaps Elle Fanning and Dek should take their places here.

    Outlook: The Housemaid seems poised for success, potentially giving Sweeney a career boost, even if part of its draw is the popular book it’s based on. Both Sweeney and Powell might have to settle for being beloved mid-tier celebrities, depending on future developments. Powell’s thriving TV career with Chad Powers suggests he might not entirely follow his Top Gun co-star Tom Cruise’s path of exclusive theatrical success.

  • ROOFMAN, Channing Tatum, 2025
    Photo: ©Paramount/Courtesy Everett Collection

    Credits: Post-COVID, Tatum came roaring back with healthy grosses for old-fashioned star vehicles like The Lost City, teaming him with Sandra Bullock, and, perhaps more impressively, Dog, a movie that’s just him and a dog for much of its running time.

    Debits: So why did Fly Me to the Moon bomb last year, followed by an exceedingly modest run for Roofman this year? They’re both entertaining crowdpleasers that seem to understand Tatum’s strengths.

    Bottom Line: Tatum is the oldest actor on this list, and he’s already achieved a level of success that gives him less to prove going forward. Like past Steven Soderbergh collaborators Clooney and Matt Damon, he may be headed for the perfectly fine status of brand-name actor with good taste, rather than box office superman.

  • WICKED: FOR GOOD, (aka WICKED: ACT II, aka WICKED: PART TWO), from left: Cynthia Erivo as Elphaba, Ariana Grande as Glinda, 2025.
    Photo: ©Universal/Courtesy Everett Collection

    Credits: Two Wicked movies. Does she need anything else? Between her pre-existing following and winning over new fans via her Oscar-nominated Wicked performance, it seems pretty likely that whatever Grande does next (apparently she’s in a Meet the Parents sequel coming next year) will generate a lot of interest. Cynthia Erivo has tended more toward prestige projects; Grande’s pop instincts may give her the edge in movie stardom.

    Debits: Is being a famous singer (albeit one who in turn started as a Nickelodeon actress) kind of a cheat code? Or does it just show understanding of how important branding is, even on individual performers?

    Bottom Line: She could probably be a top-five movie star if she really went all-out, though if she doesn’t, that will only speak well of her.

  • CHALLENGERS ZENDAYA MOVIE STAR
    Photo: Everett Collection

    Credits: Between Challengers and The Greatest Showman, she’s got the beginnings of a strong non-IP track record. Between the musical and the Spider-Man movies, kids know who she is.  

    Debits: Scarcity. She’s starred in exactly eight live-action movies so far, five of which are either Spider-Man or Dune. Of the remaining three, the aforementioned two were hits, but she’s not exactly performing constant feats of movie-star strength. (She sat 2025 out, for example.)

    Bottom Line: Zendaya’s next project is The Drama, an A24-produced movie co-starring Robert Pattinson. But even if it turns into her Die My Love, money-wise, her triple feature of The Odyssey, another Spider-Man, and another Dune should keep her profile high (if still in need of periodic franchise-free proving).

  • WINTER SPRING SUMMER OR FALL
    Photo: ©Paramount/Courtesy Everett Collection

    Credits: Her name recognition is extremely high, especially among the youth, thanks to Wednesday on Netflix. And while she’s not the only reason Beetlejuice Beetlejuice and the last two Scream movies hit, she felt like an undeniable value-add to some pretty creaky IP.

    Debits: Wednesday is a television show, and Ortega isn’t gold in everything. This year’s Death of a Unicorn and Hurry Up Tomorrow showed off how her eclectic and ambitious taste can also lead her into terrible movies nobody likes or wants to see.

    Bottom Line: Most stars Ortega’s age don’t really distinguish between movies and TV, which seems like the case here, given her Wednesday success. But her upcoming projects with J.J. Abrams, Cathy Yan, and Taika Waititi imply that she intends to continue that Beetlejuice momentum without depending on IP as firmly as many of her peers (or her past movie work). Teen-show stars are often dicey propositions on the big screen, but it’s easy to picture her sticking around.

  • DIE MY LOVE, Jennifer Lawrence, 2025.
    Photo: ©Mubi/Courtesy Everett Collection

    Credits: Your mom knows who she is. Pretty much everyone knows who she is, which is not something many others whose biggest hits are based on YA books can say. Hell, there are plenty of other Oscar winners who can’t say that. No Hard Feelings was a comedy hit a few years ago, though it seems like it should have done twice the business it did.

    Debits: Even if it wasn’t really designed for mainstream popcorn-slinging, Die My Love was an audience-alienating flop (and very much worth seeing!).

    Bottom Line: The combination of Hunger Games, X-Men, and a bunch of successful Oscar dramas have secured her place, and in a different environment she might well have become the distaff equivalent of DiCaprio (who will co-star with her in a Martin Scorsese movie). The question is whether she’ll have a Catch Me If You Can/The Departed-style mainstream hit.

  • THE PHOENICIAN SCHEME, from left: Scarlett Johansson, Benicio Del Toro, 2025.
    Photo: ©Focus Features/Courtesy Everett Collection

    Credits: Obviously dinosaurs are the star of Jurassic World Rebirth, yet at the same time, could it have hurt to inject a genuine name into an otherwise scaled-back dino adventure? A case could be made that she was to this movie as Jack Black was to Minecraft.

    Debits: Compared to a decade ago, where it seemed like ScarJo in a non-franchise title like Lucy was a major solo draw, her power in non-IP titles like Fly Me to the Moon seems limited – hence her recently signing up for a bunch more franchise fare.

    Bottom Line: Johansson seems like she wants to extend her peak-movie-star years a bit longer; she’s queuing up roles in a sequel to The Batman and Mike Flanagan’s new Exorcist movie, and plans to re-up for another Jurassic World. Her visibility will remain huge, but is she accidentally turning herself into a lady Chris Pratt, who has TV/commercial/crap movie’d himself off a list like this?

  • Margot Robbie
    Photo: Frazer Harrison/Getty

    Credits: Between Barbie, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, The Wolf of Wall Street, and Suicide Squad, she’s been in a bunch of hits and has been a household name for years at this point.  

    Debits: Her long-awaited Barbie follow-up, A Big Bold Beautiful Journey, turned out to be not so big, or bold, or long-awaited. A sampling of 2025 movies that made more money: Clown in a Cornfield; Sarah’s Oil; Death of a Unicorn.

    Bottom Line: Her upcoming starring role in Wuthering Heights will likely outgross her previous movie in a single day. If it doesn’t, she’ll need another hit fast.

  • SINNERS, Michael B. Jordan, 2025.
    Photo: ©Warner Bros/Courtesy Everett Collection

    Credits: The vast majority of his movies so far have been hits; his Fantastic Four movie was the last high-profile flop, and that was over a decade ago. Specifically, Sinners is his biggest since Black Panther – with twice as much screen time, given his dual leading role. It’s hard to imagine that movie breaking as big as it did without him.

    Debits: Since 2020, he’s had all of three movies in wide release, including one (A Journal for Jordan) that was barely promoted. He’s smart not to let his work be overexposed, but it’s a little deflating that his Sinners follow-up, a Thomas Crown Affair remake, isn’t due until spring 2027.

    Bottom Line: He’s easily one of the biggest leading men in Hollywood.

  • BUGONIA, Emma Stone, 2025.
    Photo: ©Focus Features/Courtesy Everett Collection

    Credits: Stone has been on an auteur kick since winning her second Best Actress Oscar, working with Yorgos Lanthimos two more times and playing a supporting part in Ari Aster’s Eddington. And while it would be a stretch to call this year’s Lanthimos movie Bugonia a hit for her, it’s well on its way to matching or outgrossing several buzzy horror titles (Bring Her Back; Companion) as well as several arthouse-director darlings (The Phoenician Scheme; Black Bag). It’s a flex of a sort! More broadly, most of the movies she’s starred in over the past decade have done well.

    Debits: She hasn’t done a completely mainstream movie in nearly five years, though when she did, it hit pretty well.

    Bottom Line: Her work with Lanthimos and others is exceptional. But maybe it would be nice to see her in a crowd-pleasing comedy again. Not at the expense of artier stuff – just once every couple years!

  • MARTY SUPREME NYFF MOVIE REVIEW
    Photo: A24

    Credits: Is Chalamet the first truly post-pandemic movie star? Before 2020, he was Greta Gerwig’s Best Supporting Actor. Since 2021, his diverse array of hits include two Dune movies, Wonka, and A Complete Unknown, with a supporting role in the Netflix hit Don’t Look Up and the arthouse hit The French Dispatch. Marty Supreme seems poised to do well this holiday season; at very least, it will net him another Oscar nomination, and it could boost his bankability even further.

    Debits: Bones and All flopped. It was a big ask.

    Bottom Line: He’s trying to be one of the greats, which doesn’t always involve racking up hit after hit, but at the moment, it’s hard to think of someone more in-demand.

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