ORLANDO, Fla. – A stretch of active and unsettled weather is settling in across Central Florida, bringing daily storms, intense heat and the growing potential for localized flooding.

Monday

The first rainmaker is an upper-level low over the northern Bahamas that will destabilize the atmosphere while adding extra moisture to our daily sea breeze pattern over the next several days.

Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected across the region. Storms may be a bit more hit-or-miss compared to the weekend, but they’ll still be capable of producing gusty winds up to 50 mph, frequent lightning and brief, heavy downpours.

An earlier start to the rain should keep temperatures near normal, in the upper 80s to low 90s.

This Week

Rain chances remain elevated as rounds of moisture surge into the area. Expect widespread afternoon and evening thunderstorms, many of which could be slow-moving and capable of producing heavy rain in a short period of time. This raises the risk of localized flooding, especially in low-lying or poorly drained spots. Dangerous lightning and gusty winds (up to 50 mph) will remain a concern.

Independence Day-Weekend

Looking ahead to the weekend, the forecast remains unsettled. A weak front will stall near the Southeast, bringing waves of tropical moisture over Central Florida. This will keep storm chances high each day, and the potential compounds flood risks.

On the plus side, increased cloud cover may help keep daytime highs slightly cooler, in the upper 80s.

This front that will eventually stall out over Florida is catching the attention of the National Hurricane Center for possible tropical or subtropical development. While chances remain low (around 20% over the next seven days), this system could enhance rainfall over Florida regardless of development. Either way, flooding is shaping up to be the main concern through the weekend.