ORLANDO, Fla. – A developing tropical system near the Bahamas will edge closer to Florida this weekend, deteriorating conditions along the coast.

While its exact path is still uncertain, dangerous beach and marine impacts could begin as soon as Sunday, with a low threat for additional tropical moisture by Monday.

Friday & Saturday

An approaching front will bring deeper moisture into the region, increasing rain chances to 50-70% Friday afternoon. In some of those stronger storms, gusty winds, small hail, frequent lightning and 1–3 inches of rain could be possible.

Saturday could also see a few strong storms, though the severe threat looks slightly lower.

Highs stay in the upper 80s to low 90s, depending on how close the front gets.

Sunday–Monday

The weather picture turns increasingly complex early next week as Invest 94L moves into the Bahamas. This area has a high (80-90%) chance of development, as it tracks north over the Bahamas by Sunday.

At the same time, Hurricane Humberto continues to develop few hundred miles east of 94L.

Some models suggest these two storms could interact, creating uncertainty in their future paths.

While some tracks keep the system offshore, others suggest a closer brush with our coastline. At the very least, rough surf, dangerous rip currents and poor boating conditions are likely starting Sunday into Monday.

Rain bands from the system could bring gusty squalls, especially along the coast.

Next Week

While tropical moisture dominates the forecast, a pocket of drier air could briefly move into Central Florida as Invest 94L pulls away.

However, any relief will depend on the track of the developing tropical system (likely Imelda). If it moves closer to Florida, deeper moisture could quickly return, cutting the break short.

While a direct impact is not guaranteed, the situation could change quickly. Monitor forecasts closely over the next few days as confidence in the system’s path increases.