Opportunities increase for the formation of tropical systems in the Gulf of Mexico

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Days after the first tropical storm of the 2025 hurricane season popped up in the Atlantic, another development may be brewing much closer to Florida.

On Thursday, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) revealed that tropical development appears to be forming in the Bay of Campeche.

According to the NHC, an area of showers and thunderstorms is moving over the northwestern Caribbean Sea, and it’s expected to continue west-northwestward by Saturday.

NHC map showing the location of the disturbance in the Gulf of America (National Hurricane Center)

The NHC forecasts that a low-pressure system could form after that time if the system remains over water.

As of 8 p.m. on Thursday, the chance of tropical formation sits at 10% through the next 48 hours, and 20% through the next week.

Thanks to its orientation, though, the system isn’t expected to hit Florida, even if it does develop further.

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Tropical Storm Andrea formed deep in the Atlantic on Tuesday, becoming the first named storm of the season. However, it dissipated shortly afterward.

According to the National Hurricane Center, the tropical Atlantic typically sees its first named storm by June 20, its first hurricane by Aug. 11 and its first major hurricane by Sept. 1.

The next named storm will be Barry.

Hurricane season runs through Nov. 30.

Keep up-to-date throughout hurricane season by visiting ClickOrlando.com/hurricane.

Here’s a look at the upcoming named storm list for the hurricane season. We will likely start seeing names ticked off the list within the next month or so (Copyright 2025 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.)