ORLANDO, Fla. – This week brings high rain chances and potential flooding across Central Florida, and there’s a possibility of a low-pressure system developing by the weekend.

Monday & Tuesday

The weather setup over North America has created a stubborn, slow-moving pattern, with Florida caught at the base of it. When combining that pattern a with a few weak disturbances moving in from the Gulf, expect moisture levels to remain high across Central Florida.

We’re looking at 60–80% chances of showers and storms, mainly developing earlier in the day than usual. Expect periods of heavy rain, gusty winds up to 40–45 mph, lightning and the potential for minor flooding.

Meanwhile, at the coast, long-period swells are keeping the rip current risk very high. Make sure if you do venture into the water, to swim by a staffed lifeguard tower.

Wednesday & Thursday

Some drier air could sneak into northern counties, briefly lowering rain chances. Still, expect scattered storms each afternoon (50–60%). These storms may pack a punch, with frequent lightning and strong wind gusts.

Temperatures will stay hot and humid with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s.

Friday & Weekend

Looking ahead, confidence is leaning into a more significant shift toward even wetter weather. Some forecast models are increasingly showing the potential for a weak low to form near or over Florida.

The combination of this developing system with plenty of tropical moisture, could bring widespread showers and storms, with some models already suggesting rain chances above 80% for the weekend.

While there’s still some uncertainty about exactly where the heaviest rain will fall, the general trend points to a wetter than normal Labor Day weekend.