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ORLANDO, Fla. – While fall has arrived, the Atlantic hurricane season remains active, with multiple systems being monitored.
Hurricane Gabrielle
Hurricane Gabrielle remains an impressive and powerful storm on satellite imagery.
As of early Tuesday, Gabrielle was well east of Bermuda and moving northeast at about 11 mph while packing maximum sustained winds of 140 mph.
Over the next 24 hours, Gabrielle will continue moving northeast as it accelerates into the Northern Atlantic.
The hurricane is expected to gradually weaken and begin transitioning into an extratropical system later this week.
Central & Western Tropical Atlantic
A tropical wave (Invest 93L) located about 1,000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is beginning to show better signs of organization.
Conditions are becoming more favorable, and the National Hurricane Center now gives it a high (90%) chance of developing into a tropical depression within the next seven days.
Development could occur as early as Thursday or Friday as it moves west-northwest to northwest across the western tropical Atlantic.
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Chance of development in 48 hours: 50%
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Chance of development in seven days: 90%
East of Leeward Islands
Another wave (Invest 94L) located 100 miles east of the Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Development conditions are more marginal, but there’s still potential for slow strengthening later this week as it nears the Bahamas.
Regardless of development, the system will bring gusty winds and heavy rain to parts of the Leeward Islands Tuesday and to Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands Tuesday night into Wednesday.
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Chance of development in 48 hours: 20%
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Chance of development in seven days: 60%
What to Watch For
One saving grace looks to be an approaching cold front, which is forecast to dig across the Southeast U.S. and northern Bahamas.
If this happens, it will help divert Invest 93L back out to sea. If not, parts of the Bahamas and Florida could see impacts by the weekend.
Many models are holding on to the scenario where tropical impacts remain east, but make sure to stay updated with latest model runs over the next few days as things could change.
The next named storm will be called Humberto.
Hurricane season runs through November.
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