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Although I have already written a column focusing on the New Jersey governor’s race, among others, the campaign merits further exploration.
In New Jersey, the Democratic nominee is three-term Congresswoman Mikie Sherrill, and the Republican nominee is Jack Ciattarelli, a former state legislator. Although I currently have this race rated at Tilt D, I would not be surprised to see a Republican victory here. This is because of the following factors: 1) Sherrill is mistake-prone; 2) Ciatterelli comes across as a stronger candidate; 3) the national issues seem to favor the GOP; 4) the New Jersey issues seem to favor the GOP, and 5) New Jersey political history favors the GOP.
The campaign funding for this race has been relatively even. There is a public matching fund system, and as of September 19, Ciattarelli has received $8,139,272 in public matching funds, while Sherrill has received $8,711,504. Further, the other players will spend millions more.
- Sherrill is Mistake-Prone
Sherrill has come off a hellish few weeks of publicized “scandals” and “gaffes.” They include: a) her stock market swindle; b) the first Naval Academy Scandal – her; c) the second Naval Academy Scandal – her hubby; d) the third Naval Academy Scandal – her kids; e) her two-faced actions on Charlie Kirk; and f) her vacuity on video. My RedState colleague Jennifer Oliver O’Connell has covered most of these in some depth.