Republicans hold a 31-point advantage over Democrats among Jewish voters in the congressional ballot, according to a McLaughlin & Associates survey that suggests a potentially significant shift among a traditionally Democratic-leaning constituency.
The survey showed 64 percent of Jewish voters choosing Republican candidates for Congress, compared with 33 percent supporting Democrats, pollsters John and Jim McLaughlin reported in an article released by the firm Monday.
Such a result would represent a dramatic departure from the wide Democratic margins historically seen among Jewish voters. However, the McLaughlins cautioned that the survey included only a small sample of Jewish respondents.
McLaughlin & Associates questioned 1,000 likely voters nationwide ahead of the midterm elections. Jewish respondents made up 4 percent of the sample, but the firm did not provide their exact number or a margin of error for that subgroup.
Other polling has pointed to a reduced Democratic edge among Jewish voters in New York. CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten said this month that Democrats’ lead among Jewish voters on the state’s House ballot had fallen from 49 points in 2022 to 13 points this year.
The McLaughlin survey also measured congressional preferences among other religious groups. Protestants favored Republicans by 51 percent to 43 percent, while Catholics gave the GOP a narrower 48 percent to 46 percent advantage. Evangelical Christians, a category that overlaps with other Christian groups, supported Republicans 56 percent to 37 percent.
Democrats led among respondents identifying as secular, atheist, agnostic or religiously unaffiliated, receiving 51 percent support compared with 43 percent for Republicans. Muslim voters backed Democrats 63 percent to 37 percent, although they represented only 2 percent of those surveyed.
The McLaughlins noted that the Republican advantage among Catholics was considerably smaller than Donald Trump’s 20-point margin with the group in 2024. They also contrasted the GOP’s 8-point lead among Protestants in their survey with Trump’s 27-point advantage among Protestants and other Christians in the 2024 exit poll.