Poll shows tightening statewide races in Virginia
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According to a new survey from Virginia Commonwealth University, the races for governor, lieutenant governor, and attorney general in Virginia are extremely close, with just two weeks until Election Day.

Former Representative Abigail Spanberger, the Democratic candidate for governor, maintains the largest advantage in the latest poll, leading Republican Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears with 49 percent to 42 percent support. This is a slight narrowing from last month when Spanberger held a 49 percent to 40 percent lead.

In the contest for lieutenant governor, Democratic State Senator Ghazala Hashmi is narrowly ahead of her Republican rival John Reid, with 44 percent to Reid’s 43 percent. This represents a tightening race from the previous month, where Hashmi led with a 45 percent to 41 percent margin.

A poll from Virginia Commonwealth University released Tuesday shows tight margins in the state’s governor, lieutenant governor and attorney general races two weeks out from Election Day. 

Democratic gubernatorial nominee and former Rep. Abigail Spanberger holds the widest lead in the poll, leading Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears (R) 49 percent to 42 percent. Last month, the poll showed the Democrat with a slightly wider lead over the Republican, 49 percent to 40 percent. 

In the lieutenant governor’s race, state Sen. Ghazala Hashmi (D) leads her Republican opponent John Reid by 1 point, at 44 percent to 43 percent. Last month, Hashmi led Reid 45 percent to 41 percent. 

And in the attorney general race, which has become one of the more closely watched races because of a text scandal involving Democratic nominee Jay Jones, incumbent Jason Miyares (R) leads Jones 45 percent to 42 percent. 

The poll showed Democrats narrowly leading Republicans in the race for control of the House of Delegates 47 percent to 44 percent.

Jones has been under fire over recently surfaced texts that he sent in 2022 in which he joked about wanting to shoot former state House Speaker Todd Gilbert (R). The texts have roiled the state’s off-year elections, with Republicans insisting Democrats call on Jones to end his campaign. The Democratic attorney general nominee has apologized multiple times for the texts. 

The poll indicates how much of a liability the scandal could pose not only for Jones but also for other Democrats running. 

The survey was conducted Oct. 6-14 among 842 Virginia adults. The margin of error is 3.95 percentage points. 

Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

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