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There is a natural lull in the tennis calendar after the Championships at Wimbledon.
The grass-court season comes at you fast, following the lengthy clay-court schedule before Roland Garros. This pace often leads top players to take a breather between Wimbledon and the start of the North American hard-court events heading into the US Open at the end of August.
But just because the biggest names in the sport are taking off this week doesn’t mean that bettors should do the same.
The money you earn (or squander) from betting on Taro Daniel versus Alex Hernandez at the Los Cabos Open holds just as much value as the money you gained (or lost) during the Wimbledon Final.
Daniel opens as a -270 favorite opposite Hernandez, who is a +210 underdog.
It’s been a nightmare 2025 season for Daniel, a 32-year-old who is now ranked No. 156 in the world after peaking at No. 58 at the beginning of 2024.
Daniel isn’t known for dominating with a powerful serve or impenetrable defense. Instead, he’s famous for his tenacity, pushing opponents to deliver one more shot each time.
When he’s at his best, Daniel doesn’t beat himself.
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The good news for Daniel is that his opponent in the Round of 32 at the Los Cabos Open, Alex Hernandez, shouldn’t be able to beat him either.
The Mexican is ranked No. 491 in the world and is the No. 473 player in Tennis Abstract’s ELO model.
As long as Daniel avoids a letdown, he should make quick work of Hernandez, who is only in this field because it is being played in his home country.
The Play: Taro Daniel -3.5 Games (-120, bet365)
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Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
