Economist Brent Neiman shocked to learn Trump admin used his formula to justify tariffs: 'Got it wrong'
Share and Follow

An esteemed economist was surprised to discover that the Trump administration utilized his study to support its high tariffs. He stated that the White House misinterpreted his formula and made significant errors in calculating the tariffs for each country.

Brent Neiman, a University of Chicago economics professor, said in a New York Times op-ed that President Trump’s sweeping tariff regime should have been roughly four times less if his study had been followed correctly.

The economic expert, who co-wrote the research with three other renowned economists, noted that his first question when Trump unveiled its tariff rates was: “How on earth did it calculate such huge rates?”

“The next day it got personal. The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative released its methodology and cited an academic paper produced by four economists, including me, seemingly in support of its numbers,” he wrote.

“But it got it wrong. Very wrong,” he said.

“I disagree fundamentally with the government’s trade policy and approach. But even taking it at face value, our findings suggest the calculated tariffs should be dramatically smaller — perhaps one-fourth as large.”

Neiman, who served as a treasury official during the Biden administration, suggested Trump’s team incorrectly plugged a 25% rate into its formula to come up with the levies.

“Where does 25% come from? Is it related to our work? I don’t know,” he wrote.

“Had the trade office instead used a value closer to the 95 percent number from our work, as I believe it should have done, the computed tariffs would have been as little as one-fourth of what they are.”

The professor said the “biggest mistake” was leveraging the reciprocal tariffs to try to eliminate trade deficits with some of the Unites States’ major trading partners.

“The office said it calculated its reciprocal tariffs at a level that would theoretically eliminate trade deficits with ‘each of our trading partners,’ one by one. Is that a reasonable goal?” he wrote.

“It is not. Trade imbalances between two countries can emerge for many reasons that have nothing to do with protectionism. Americans spend more on clothing made in Sri Lanka than Sri Lankans spend on American pharmaceuticals and gas turbines. So what? That pattern reflects differences in natural resources, comparative advantage and development levels.”

“The deficit numbers don’t suggest, let alone prove, unfair competition,” he added.

Neiman’s reaction comes after Trump announced a 10% baseline tariff on all imports to the US last week, as well as higher duties on some of the country’s biggest trading partners — ranging from premium Italian coffee and Japanese whisky to sportswear made in Asia.

Trump has justified the hefty levies by arguing the “reciprocal” tariffs were a response to duties and other non-tariff barriers put on US goods.

He has insisted, too, that the tariffs would boost manufacturing jobs at home.

 

Share and Follow
You May Also Like
Rubio slams Hamas after video shows suspected operatives looting Gaza aid truck: ‘They’re the impediment'

Senator Rubio Condemns Hamas: Calls Out Looting of Gaza Aid Trucks as Major Obstacle

On Saturday, Secretary of State Marco Rubio condemned Hamas following the release…
Japan deploys military after record bear attacks across country

Japan Mobilizes Military in Response to Unprecedented Surge in Bear Encounters

Japan is grappling with an unprecedented surge in bear attacks, compelling local…
Are the 'lazy luxury' sneakers taking Wall Street by storm worth it?

Lazy Luxury Sneakers: The Hottest Wall Street Trend or Just Hype?

Step aside, Gucci and Loro Piana—there’s a new shoe in the spotlight,…
Dog rushed to vet after ingesting methamphetamine during walk in park

Urgent Vet Visit: Dog Accidentally Consumes Methamphetamine at Local Park

A dog owner in Southern California faced a frightening situation when her…
Protesters at ICE facility arrested on disorderly conduct, harassment charges

Dozens Arrested in Tense Standoff at ICE Facility: Charges Include Disorderly Conduct and Harassment

PORTLAND, Ore. (KOIN) — Demonstrators continue to gather outside the ICE facility…
'Intentional' explosion on Harvard medical school campus probed by FBI, 2 people seen fleeing building: police

FBI Investigates Deliberate Explosion at Harvard Medical School: Suspects Flee Crime Scene

In the early hours of Saturday, an explosive incident at Harvard University’s…
Meghan and Harry are spotted 'trick or treating with wine and beer'

Royal Revelry: Meghan and Harry’s Halloween Adventure with Wine and Beer – A Spooky Twist on Tradition!

Meghan Markle was recently seen embracing the Halloween spirit alongside her children,…
Multiple people stabbed on train as passengers hide in toilet

Incident on Train: Passengers Seek Refuge in Restroom Amidst Multiple Stabbings

Passengers on a train experienced sheer terror as they sought refuge in…