Vice President JD Vance has came out as the apparent favorite to win the 2028 presidential election, according to a prediction market. 

The 40-year-old is favorite to become the next commander in chief with a 27 percent chance already, according to Polymarket. 

In second place was California Governor Gavin Newsom with a 14 percent chance, which has fallen two percent according to the market. 

Democratic firebrand Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez closely trails the Golden State leader with a ten percent chance. 

Others close by the top three frontrunners included Pete Buttigieg with eight percent, and Marco Rubio, with a six percent chance. 

Among the candidates considered unlikely were current President Donald Trump, despite only a three percent chance and the fact he’s ineligible for a third term, along with his son, Donald Jr., who has the same probability.

Trump has toyed with the idea of running for a third term, despite the Constitution stipulating that presidents are limited to two four-year terms. 

In late March he told NBC News: ‘I’m not joking, there are methods which you could do it’, when asked to elaborate he declined to answer. 

The 40-year-old is favorite to become the next commander in chief with a 27 percent chance already, according to Polymarket

Democratic firebrand Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez closely trails the Golden State leader with a ten percent chance

Vance started fielding questions in February, after just a few weeks in office as the veep, on a potential run for the White House in 2028. 

Speaking with Fox News in early February he gave little away, saying: ‘We’ll cross that political bridge when we come to it.

‘We’ll find out what unfolds by 2028. However, my perspective is that what’s best for my future aligns with what’s best for Americans, which means performing exceptionally over the upcoming three and a half years.’

Newsom has also been questioned on the possibility of running as the Democratic candidate. 

Speaking with the Wall Street Journal last month, he told the outlet: ‘I’m not thinking about running, but it’s a path that I could see unfold.’

He added that it was too early to make a decision and would wait to see if the moment felt right, the outlet added. 

In a Daily Mail poll earlier this year, Trump came out on top against all of his Republican rivals in a hypothetical 2028 primary race. 

Republican participants were asked to imagine a scenario where Trump had overcome constitutional barriers to his name appearing on the ballot again, to assess the interest in another term for Trump.

Newsom has also been questioned on the possibility of running as the Democratic candidate

Others close by the top three frontrunners included Pete Buttigieg with eight percent, and Marco Rubio, seen here, with a six percent chance

A whopping 39 percent said Trump would be their first choice, followed by 19 percent who selected Vice President.

After that, failed 2024 candidates, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley garnered 6 percent and 4 percent support, respectively.

Without Trump in the equation, Vance dominates the 2028 GOP primary, the new polling found.

Forty-eight percent of Republicans chose Vance to be the GOP nominee, followed by just 8 percent who selected DeSantis.

Trump is barred from running again due to the 22nd Amendment in the U.S. Constitution. 

Republicans could try and amend the Constitution again to allow presidents to serve more than two terms, as one pro-MAGA congressman has suggested – but there’s an extremely high bar to do such a thing.

The amendment would need to be proposed by either two-third of both houses of Congress or by a national convention called by two-third of the states. 

And then the proposal would need to be ratified by three-fourths of the states – either by their legislatures or by special conventions.