Poll Reveals Challenges for Democrats and Trump in Securing Latino Voter Support

A recent poll indicates that Latino backing for Democrats has not seen significant growth, even though former President Trump has lost some traction with this crucial voter group in the 2024 election.

The survey, conducted by UnidosUS and involving 3,000 registered Hispanic voters, reveals that 54% intend to support Democratic candidates for the House in the upcoming midterm elections. Meanwhile, 27% are leaning towards Republican candidates, with 19% still undecided.

This 54% mirrors the same proportion of Hispanic voters who supported Democratic House candidates in 2024, as reported by a CBS News exit poll.

The exit poll from 2024 highlights a significant drop in Latino support for Democratic House contenders compared to earlier election cycles.

According to the same outlet, Democrats secured 60% of the Latino vote in the 2022 House races, 63% in 2020, and 69% in 2018.

UnidosUS, a Latino civil rights and advocacy group, found that Hispanic support for Democrats hasn’t increased despite 1 in 4 Hispanic Trump voters indicating they likely wouldn’t cast a ballot for the president if given a second chance.  

Among Latinos that backed Trump in 2024, 25% said they either “probably would not vote for Trump again” or were “certain” they would not if they “had to do it over again.” 

However the vast majority (75%) were inclined to still vote for Trump in that scenario.   

The poll, conducted between April 27 and May 14, also found that 60% of Latinos said they have a “very favorable” or “somewhat favorable” opinion of congressional Democrats, while 31% declared a “somewhat unfavorable” or “very unfavorable” opinion.

In contrast, only 34% viewed congressional Republicans favorably, while 58% held an unfavorable opinion. 

In the battle for the Texas US Senate seat, one of the biggest midterm races this cycle, Democratic candidate James Talarico registered more support from Lone Star State Latinos than Republican candidate Ken Paxton, the pollster found. 

Some 51% of Texas Latinos are either planning or leaning toward voting for Talarico, whereas 24% favor Paxton. Another 18% remain undecided.

The poll was conducted before Paxton’s victory Tuesday night in the GOP primary runoff.