Polymarket allowing users to bet on deadly LA wildfires
Share and Follow


() As deadly wildfires devastate communities around the Los Angeles area, Polymarket, an American crypto-based prediction market platform, is allowing people to bet on the disaster.

Users could place wagers on 20 predictions related to the fires as of Thursday. The site also had a “wildfire” trending module.

Polymarket gamblers have bet on everything from the amount of acreage the Palisades wildfire will burn to whether arsonists will be arrested in connection with the fires. Those who invest in correct outcomes profit off of their bets.

One question with a betting pool over $60,000 asks: “Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?” Bettors gave that a 22% chance of happening as of Thursday afternoon.

If betting on a fatal disaster sounds unethical, you’re not alone. Polymarket has faced criticism on social media for allowing people to profit from the unfolding tragedy.

“Betting on the spread of a fire is immoral,” one user wrote in response to a Polymarket post on X.

Another user chimed in: “Betting on this is simple depravity.”

Polymarket includes a disclaimer on all bets related to the fires. It reads:

Note on Palisades Wildfire Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events impacting society. The devastating Pacific Palisades fire is one such event, for which Polymarket can yield invaluable real-time answers to those directly impacted in ways traditional media cannot.

Note: There are no fees on this market.

Polymarket

On its website, Polymarket says users can suggest ideas for new markets, but the platform ultimately decides what people can bet on.

Some of the LA wildfire wagers that were available on Polymarket as of Thursday:

  • “Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?”
  • “When will the Palisades wildfire be 50% contained?”
  • “Will the Sunset wildfire reach Hollywood Blvd by Friday?”

Polymarket is perhaps best known for its political prediction markets, making headlines back in November when bettors wagered billions on the 2024 election.

When asked about the wildfire prediction markets, a Polymarket spokesperson told Business Insider: “Polymarket charges no fees and generates no revenue from these markets and provides them as a service to those looking for unbiased and up-to-date information during fast-moving events.”

Officials say about 180,000 people are under evacuation orders due to the fires and thousands have been displaced. At least five people have died so far.

Share and Follow
You May Also Like
Inside Britney Spears' cozy sleepover with Kim and Khloé Kardashian

Britney Spears Hosts an Intimate Gathering with Kim and Khloé Kardashian

Britney Spears recently delighted her fans with a glimpse into a lively…
Snooker star Ronnie O'Sullivan reveals reason he loves living in Dubai

Why Snooker Legend Ronnie O’Sullivan Calls Dubai His Dream Home

Ronnie O’Sullivan has embarked on a ‘clean start’ by embracing a digital…
A woman walks past a mural in Altadena, Calif., as the region remains under flash flood warnings Saturday, Nov. 15, 2025. (AP Photo/Noah Berger)

California Faces Flooding Threat as Lingering Thunderstorms Follow Powerful Atmospheric River

LOS ANGELES (AP) — A potent atmospheric river that had swept across…
Financial services giant GFI Group doubling space at 55 Water St.

GFI Group Expands Operations with Major Office Space Increase at 55 Water Street

GFI Group, a prominent player in the financial services sector, has decided…
Trump says House Republicans should vote to release Epstein files in stunning reversal: 'Nothing to hide'

Trump Urges House Republicans to Release Epstein Files in a Surprising U-Turn: ‘Nothing to Hide

WASHINGTON (AP) — In a surprising change of stance, President Donald Trump…
Charlie Kirk honored in Jerusalem as hundreds gather, including officials, clergy and Christians

Hundreds, Including Officials and Clergy, Gather in Jerusalem to Celebrate Charlie Kirk

A memorial service held in Jerusalem on Sunday for the late conservative…
Little House's Melissa Gilbert 'nauseated' by Megyn Kelly's remarks

Melissa Gilbert Expresses Disgust Over Megyn Kelly’s Controversial Comments

Melissa Gilbert, known for her role in “Little House on the Prairie,”…
Rangers honor Post icon Larry Brooks with touching pregame tribute

Rangers Pay Heartfelt Tribute to Legendary Sports Journalist Larry Brooks

Madison Square Garden was filled with a solemn hush on Sunday night,…