Liverpool is off to a strong start with its title defense.

The Reds have kicked off their Premier League campaign flawlessly, winning their initial four games, including a victory over Arsenal, a key competitor in the title race this year.

As the only squad with a perfect record so far in the Premier League, the Reds now shift focus to the Champions League, where they, alongside Barcelona, PSG, and Arsenal, are strong contenders for the championship.

Anfield should be rocking for Wednesday’s opener against Atletico Madrid.

Liverpool vs. Atletico Madrid odds, prediction

With an unbeaten 4-0-0 start, Liverpool’s performance has been impressive, yet it could be argued that favorable timing, fortuitous events, and opponents’ critical errors have played a part in their success.

The Reds blew a 2-0 lead against Bournemouth in their season opener, but rescued the win with two very late goals.

Liverpool pulled a similar stunt the following week, blowing another 2-0 lead against Newcastle, before winning 3-2 on a 99th-minute winner against a team that played the entire second half with 10 men.

The defending champs then used a once-a-season goal from a direct kick to beat Arsenal, before barely edging Burnley, 1-0, thanks to a 94th-minute penalty kick.

Liverpool has a knack for winning in this style, but it seems unsustainable, even for them.

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Atletico Madrid has flaws of its own, but they’ve consistently been one of the best defensive sides in Europe under their fiery manager, Diego Simeone.

Atleti is 1-2-1 (W-D-L) on the season, but they’re second in La Liga in expected goals against, so the early returns are more promising than they look for Simeone’s well-oiled machine.

This is a veteran team that is used to playing in hostile environments, and they’ve got the defensive panache to contain Liverpool’s dynamic attack.

Liverpool’s luck will run out eventually, and a play on Atletico Madrid to pull the upset isn’t a terrible idea.

The Play: Atletico Madrid +550 (FanDuel)

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Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.