Only miles away from an ancient, foreboding supervolcano known to many for its potential catastrophic power, an earthquake rattled Yellowstone National Park.
According to the US Geological Survey, the tremor, which registered at a magnitude of 3.3, shook the area at 9:20 a.m. ET on Thursday, striking along the Yellowstone River within the iconic Wyoming park.
The epicenter of the relatively mild quake lay a mere seven miles from the Yellowstone caldera. This caldera is a vast, bowl-shaped volcanic depression that has long been a focus of scientific scrutiny and public curiosity.
Adding to the intrigue, scientists last year uncovered tens of thousands of previously undocumented earthquakes. These findings raise questions about whether Yellowstone’s supervolcano could be gearing up for an eruption.
In a collaborative effort, an international team harnessed the power of artificial intelligence to analyze 15 years of Yellowstone recordings. Astonishingly, they identified 86,000 minuscule earthquakes that went unnoticed by human experts. This revelation suggested the seismic activity was about ten times more prolific than researchers had once believed.
In the past three weeks, 11 minor quakes have been recorded by USGS in the area around the caldera.
Thursday’s earthquake reportedly produced only light shaking in the 2.2 million acre park that spans across Wyoming, Montana and Idaho.
However, since the ancient site has not exploded in about 640,000 years, some experts and locals believe the volcano is overdue for an eruption that could potentially devastate the central US.
A magnitude 3.3 earthquake has been detected just miles from the caldera of the Yellowstone supervolcano in Wyoming
In 2025, scientists detected thousands of previously unknown earthquakes under the supervolcano in Yellowstone (Pictured)
A dramatic uptick in seismic activity is often a sign that a volcano may soon erupt.
Multiple studies have concluded that earthquakes around Yellowstone have been driven by magma movement, hydrothermal activity and regional tectonic stresses in the Intermountain Seismic Belt – an 800-mile active fault region stretching through Nevada, Utah, Idaho, Wyoming and Montana.
A 2025 study by scientists from the Universities of Utah and New Mexico found that the top of Yellowstone’s underground magma chamber sits just 2.3 miles, about 12,500 feet, below the surface.
A team from Rice University noted that previous estimates often placed the top of Yellowstone’s magma system as far as five miles deep.
Hot, molten material this close to the surface can create pressure and gases that drive volcanic activity, but scientists have said this does not guarantee an eruption is imminent.
In fact, the University of Utah study showed Yellowstone was currently stable, with gases venting through the park’s hot springs and geysers rather than building up dangerously.
‘In terms of large explosions, Yellowstone has experienced three at 2.08, 1.3, and 0.631 million years ago,’ USGS explained in a statement. ‘This comes out to an average of about 725,000 years between eruptions.’
‘That being the case, there is still about 100,000 years to go, but this is based on the average of just two time intervals between the eruptions, which is meaningless,’ researchers noted.
Researchers used AI to review seismicity between 2008 and 2022, finding that earthquake records had been undercounted at Yellowstone by a factor of 10
The potential ashfall from a Yellowstone eruption was projected by USGS in 2014
USGS currently registers activity at the supervolcano as ‘normal’ and noted that lava has not spewed from the caldera in 77,000 years.
Still, that has not prevented the agency from preparing for a potentially cataclysmic event in the near future.
In 2014, USGS modeled what the destruction of a Yellowstone supervolcano eruption would look like and found that ash would likely cover the entire US, with the heaviest amounts closest to the epicenter.
The simulation predicted that Yellowstone National Park would be fatally buried under more than three feet of volcanic ash.
Meanwhile, nearby cities such as Denver, Boise and Salt Lake City would likely see as much as 40 inches of ash blanket the area, enough to cave in roofs.
Even major cities as far away as Chicago, St Louis, Kansas City, Los Angeles, San Francisco and Seattle would likely be coated in an inch of volcanic ash from the explosion.