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Scientists have issued a warning regarding the potential for a significant earthquake in New Zealand following the discovery of an active fault line in the country’s northern region.
This fault line, known as the Mangatangi Fault, is situated near the Hunua Ranges in South Auckland, not far from the bustling city of Auckland.
Researchers from the University of Auckland conducted a study employing radiocarbon dating techniques to determine the last activity of this fault line.
Their findings indicate that the Mangatangi Fault last experienced a rupture approximately 10,000 years ago, qualifying it as an ‘active’ fault.
If this fault were to rupture once more, experts anticipate it could unleash a powerful earthquake with a magnitude of 6.8, potentially causing widespread devastation.
Worryingly, there would be ‘serious consequences’ for people living in the area, according to the experts.
‘If the whole fault ruptured, there would likely be serious consequences for people living in South Auckland, and possibly further into central Auckland as well,’ said Dr James Muirhead, a co–author of the study.Â
Named the Mangatangi Fault, the fault line runs alongside the Hunua Ranges in South Auckland, close to the city of Auckland
Earthquakes are very common in New Zealand, due to the country’s location, astride the boundary of the Australian and Pacific tectonic plates.Â
However, until now, the risk of tremors in the Auckland area has remained unclear.Â
In their new study, the team used radiocarbon dating to analyse the Mangatangi Fault, and found that it has moved within the past 10,000 years.Â
For reference, any fault that has moved in the past 125,000 years is deemed active.Â
‘This fault may not rupture again for tens of thousands of years,’ said Hannah Martin, lead author of the research.Â
‘However, this is an active fault with the potential to generate a large earthquake in a region that doesn’t expect one.’Â
The resulting earthquake could reach a magnitude of 6.8, which is classed as a ‘strong, major earthquake’.Â
During this type of earthquake, cracks can appear on roads and walls, while damage to buildings is possible.Â
Worryingly, there would be ‘serious consequences’ for people living in the area, according to the experts. Pictured: Auckland cityÂ
The resulting earthquake could reach a magnitude of 6.8, which is classed as a ‘strong, major earthquake’Â
For reference, famous 6.8 magnitude earthquakes include the 2001 Nisqually earthquake in the Pacific Northwest, and devastating quake that hit Morocco in 2023, killing more than 1,000 people.Â
If you live in the Auckland area, you’ll be relieved to hear that the risk remains low, according to Dr Muirhead.Â
‘Auckland’s level of hazard is obviously nothing like Wellington’s or much of the South Island, but it may be significantly higher than the public and policymakers believe – we need more factual information to know,’ he added.